Daily Insight

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30 November 2005

Consumer confidence was also firm, giving investors a good indication that Xmas sales will be strong...

Yesterday's Durable Goods orders from the US were in line with forecasts, and sales of new homes jumped 13% to a new record for October. Consumer confidence was also firm, giving investors a good indication that Xmas sales will be strong.

The dollar reacted predictably to these reports, undoing a large part of Monday's rally in the cable and eurusd rates. Further reports from the US this afternoon should help to give further direction.

UK CPI this morning (09:30) is unliekly to give the market any clear view on interest rates, unless it is well out of the expected range of 2.3% - 2.5%.

GBP EUR - Support 1.4580, 1.4535/50 then 1.4500
Resistance 1.4650 then 1.4742

GBP USD - Support 1.7160, 1.7140 then 1.7050
Resistance 1.7270/85, then 1.7345

DATA: UK CPI (09:30)
EMU Q3 GDP (10:00)
UK Consumer Confidence (10:30)
US Q3 GDP (13:30)
Chicago PMI (15:00)

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