Exchange Rate Forecasts

May, 2006

The Pound may slip following a two-month slowdown in the UK Housing Market

Wednesday, May 31st, 2006

There is a glut of significant data released today on both sides of the Atlantic and we can expect to see further market volatility after the Dollar fell significantly against the majors yesterday afternoon amid the appointment of Hank Paulson as the new U.S Treasury secretary and the release of Consumer Confidence data for the [...]

The Euro gains against the Dollar as German Consumer Confidence rises to the highest level since 2001

Tuesday, May 30th, 2006

Following a quiet start to the week with the Bank Holiday, we can expect some market movement over the course of this week with a host of significant data released both in Europe and the States. The Euro made gains against the Dollar yesterday as German Consumer Confidence rose to the highest level in 5 [...]

UK Inflation moves above the government’s 2% target according to the second estimate for first quarter GDP

Friday, May 26th, 2006

Following a quiet start to the week, we have seen some market movement over the past 48hrs and there was some significant data released yesterday on both sides of the pond as Sterling received a slightly unexpected boost when the second estimate for GDP showed that the UK economy expanded by 0.6% in the first [...]

The Dollar gains on speculation the Fed will continue raising interest rates as Sales of New Homes unexpectedly jumps by 4.9%

Thursday, May 25th, 2006

The Euro has been boosted against Sterling in the past week by some extremely positive data coming out of Germany and yesterday the single currency made further gains against Sterling as the Ifo Business climate index showed that confidence in Germany remains at a high level despite forecasters anticipating a decline in May following increasingly [...]

The Dollar may weaken further as the U.S Housing Market continues to decline following higher interest rates

Wednesday, May 24th, 2006

The market remained fairly stagnant yesterday following a second successive day without any significant data released either in the UK or the States but we can expect some market movement over the course of the day with the CBI Monthly Trends survey released this morning and forecasters are anticipating a moderate improvement in May following [...]

The Dollar declines against the majors despite a lack of any U.S data

Tuesday, May 23rd, 2006

Without any significant data released either in the UK or the States, the Dollar’s dramatic decline resumed yesterday after what can be considered as an outright rejection of the new lows around the 1.8640 level and the Dollar promptly fell back to close above 1.8800. The recent volatility and lack of appetite for the U.S [...]

The Euro gains against Sterling following the biggest increase in German Producer Prices in 24-years

Monday, May 22nd, 2006

Following on from last week, the Euro was given a boost on Friday with German Producer Prices rising by 1% month-on-month in April, which was largely in line with expectations, showing the biggest increase in nearly 24-years as global energy costs continue to soar. This week, the German ifo business climate survey is released tomorrow [...]

the Dollar gains on speculation the Fed will raise interest rates after higher inflation and rising producer prices

Friday, May 19th, 2006

Sterling was given an unexpected boost yesterday with UK Retail Sales growing for a third month in April, jumping 0.6% from March and the year-on-year growth rate also rose to 3%, which was well ahead of market expectations. UK house prices gained 2% in the last month, the biggest increase in over 2 years and [...]

Sterling rallys as the MPC are split 6-2 in favour of keeping interest rates at 4.50%

Thursday, May 18th, 2006

Yesterday represented a significant day in terms of market movement and data released with the Pound making further gains against the majors, peaking at 1.9025 against the Dollar and 1.4770 against the Euro after the Bank of England released the minutes of it’s May policy meeting. For a sixth consecutive month outgoing MPC member, Stephen [...]

Sterling set to rally if UK Average Earnings rise from the current 4.2%

Wednesday, May 17th, 2006

In recent weeks, the Euro has made significant gains against the Dollar as speculation has intensified that the ECB will lift interest rates from the current 2.50% as the euro-zone economy begins to gain momentum. However, the data released yesterday has cast some doubts over this as the ZEW survey, which focuses on economic sentiment [...]


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