Exchange Rate Forecasts

September, 2006

Steling comes under intense pressure against the majors following a damaging omission from the Office of National Statistics regarding wage growth

Friday, September 29th, 2006

The Pound came under intense pressure against both the Euro and the Dollar yesterday and the general consensus is that we could see further downside movement particularly after the damaging omission from the UK office of national statistics yesterday. The ONS announced that a significant error had been made in one of their inflation models, [...]

The Pound comes under increased pressure against the majors, dropping under 1.4800 against the Euro

Thursday, September 28th, 2006

The Pound came under increased pressure yesterday, trading down against both the Euro and the Dollar following some particularly negative commentary from a member of the Bank of England’s monetary policy committee regarding a further rise in UK interest rates. The Pound has been making significant gains amid increased speculation that the MPC will lift [...]

The Euro falls to the lowest level this year against Sterling following a damaging report into German business confidence

Wednesday, September 27th, 2006

The Euro lost yet more ground against Sterling yesterday, falling to a new yearly low for the fourth day in succession as we traded above 1.4950 for the majority of the European session. Following a damaging report from the ZEW centre of economic research last week into German investor confidence and the seemingly moderating inflationary [...]

The Euro falls to a new yearly low against the Pound for the fourth day in succession as business confidence drops for a third month ina row

Wednesday, September 27th, 2006

The Euro lost yet more ground against Sterling yesterday, falling to a new yearly low for the fourth day in succession as we traded above 1.4950 for the majority of the European session. Following a damaging report from the ZEW centre of economic research last week into German investor confidence and the seemingly moderating inflationary [...]

The Euro comes under further pressure against the Pound as we head back above 1.4900

Tuesday, September 26th, 2006

Following on from last week, the Pound made further gains against both the Euro and the Dollar to trade above 1.4900 for the first time this year while Sterling also traded above 1.9000 versus the Dollar. That trend looks set to continue in the beginning of this week amid a plethora of significant data released [...]

The Dollar plummets as the Philly Fed Index posts the first decline in manufacturing activity in over 3 years

Friday, September 22nd, 2006

There is a lot of volatility in the Forex market at present and yesterday the Pound made significant gains against the majors, strengthening to a new-yearly high against the Euro at 1.4910 and we broke above 1.9000 versus the Dollar. The positive sentiment surrounding the Pound began with a better than expected report on the [...]

The Dollar remains largely unchanged as the Fed elect to hold U.S interest rates at 5.25% for the second month in succession

Thursday, September 21st, 2006

The Pound made further gains against the majors yesterday, rising to a year high against the Euro following the release of the minutes from the Bank of England’s last policy meeting where the MPC elected to hold UK interest rates at 4.75%. It was widely regarded that the minutes would provide some insight into the [...]

The Dollar declines against the Pound following a soft report on producer price inflation and a further drop in Housing starts last month

Wednesday, September 20th, 2006

The Dollar came under increased pressure against the Pound yesterday amid some particularly soft U.S data, which may have a bearing on tonight’s FOMC rate announcement. Producer Price Inflation rose by less than anticipated in August with prices excluding food and energy falling to a three-year low, which only reiterates comments from the Fed chairman, [...]

The Dollar remains firm against the Pound despite a damaging report on net foreign purchasing and the U.S current account deficit

Tuesday, September 19th, 2006

The Dollar made significant gains against the Pound yesterday in the build-up to the FOMC rate announcement tomorrow despite a host of negative economic data that effectively should of hampered any lingering dollar sentiment. Firstly, the U.S current account deficit widened by more than anticipated in the second quarter with the shortfall coming in at [...]

The Dollar may come under further pressure ahead of the Current Account deficit, which is expected to widen further in the second quarter

Monday, September 18th, 2006

Following on from last week, the Dollar remained firm against the Pound and the Euro on Friday despite some soft inflation data and an unexpected fall in industrial production in the last month. U.S consumer price inflation, excluding food and energy, rose 0.2% in August, which was largely in line with expectations and further emphasises [...]


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