Exchange Rate Forecasts

October, 2006

The Pound advances against the majors as UK mortgage approvals unexpectedly increases to a 2-year high

Tuesday, October 31st, 2006

The Pound made robust gains against the majors yesterday, firming an additional 0.5% versus the Euro to peak at 1.4970, the highest point since June 2005, while against the Dollar, Sterling advanced beyond the resistance level at 1.9000 following a particularly strong report on the UK housing market. Recent surveys from Halifax and Nationwide has [...]

The Dollar continues to decline against the majors ahead of the U.S employment report this week

Monday, October 30th, 2006

Following on from last week, the Dollar came under intense pressure against the majors as we trade back up towards 1.9000 against the Pound after the Federal Reserve elected to hold U.S interest rates at 5.25% for the fourth month in succession. The no change in policy for the month of October was widely anticipated [...]

The Dollar falls as the the Federal Reserve elect to hold interest rates at 5.25% for the third consecutive month

Thursday, October 26th, 2006

The Dollar lost ground against the majors last night as the Federal Reserve elected to hold U.S interest rates at 5.25% for the third consecutive month, which was widely anticipated although the tone of the accompanying statement didn’t match investor’s expectations. Following a host of hawkish rhetoric from Fed officials over the past month and [...]

The Dollar makes modest gains against the majors as we build up to the FOMC rate announcement

Wednesday, October 25th, 2006

The Pound has been making steady gains against the majors in recent weeks but following a report from the Confederation of British Industry yesterday, Sterling eased 0.1% against the Dollar and the Euro. The CBI industrial trends survey, which provides a good insight into UK manufacturing activity, came in weaker than expected and the report [...]

The Dollar advances against the majors as speculation builds that a sharp drop in oil prices will boost economic recovery in the fourth quarter

Tuesday, October 24th, 2006

The Dollar advanced yesterday, firming 0.7% against the Pound and a further 0.5% versus the Euro despite the apparent lack of any significant economic data released in the States as falling oil prices may boost growth in the U.S economy going into the final quarter of the year. Ahead of the FOMC rate announcement tomorrow, [...]

The Dollar continues to weaken against the Pound ahead of the FOMC rate announcement on Wednesday

Monday, October 23rd, 2006

Following on from last week, the Pound remained strong against the majors after a preliminary report on UK GDP showed that the economy grew at a faster pace than expected in the third quarter led by growth in the service industries and manufacturing sector. Economic growth has increased at the fastest pace in three years [...]

The Pound advances against the majors following the release of the preliminary GDP report for the third quarter

Friday, October 20th, 2006

The Pound declined against the majors yesterday following a worse-than-expected report on UK retail Sales, which fell for the first time in eight months for September led by a dramatic fall in petrol prices and rising unemployment. Retail sales accounts for over a third of UK consumer spending, which fell 0.4% last month despite forecasters [...]

The Dollar rises against the majors following a surprisingly strong report on the U.S housing market

Thursday, October 19th, 2006

The Pound declined yesterday, dropping 0.2% against the Dollar following the release of the minutes from the Bank of England’s last monetary policy meeting where the MPC elected to hold interest rates at 4.75% for the second month in a row. However, with UK inflation still above the Central Bank’s 2.0% target, two members out [...]

The Pound rally against the majors as UK consumer prices shows inflation above the Central Bank’s 2.0% target

Wednesday, October 18th, 2006

The Pound continued to make gains yesterday, firming 0.5% against the Dollar at a one-week high and a further 0.4% versus the Euro to breach the 1.4900 barrier following a glut of economic data on both sides of the Atlantic. The Pound rallied after a report on consumer price inflation supported the view that the [...]

The Pound may rally this morning if the report on consumer price inflation increases by more than the 0.1% forecast

Tuesday, October 17th, 2006

The Pound received a timely boost yesterday, firming 0.2% against the Dollar and the Euro following a report on the UK housing market, which showed robust growth in the sector with prices jumping 2.0% on the month in October,. bringing the annual growth rate to a 22-month high. According to the Rightmove house price index, [...]


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