Exchange Rate Forecasts

May, 2007

The Dollar finds some support against the Pound as new home sales show the biggest monthly rise in 14-years

Friday, May 25th, 2007

The Dollar managed to find some support yesterday, rising 0.2% against the Euro and a modest 0.1% versus the Pound following a report on the U.S housing market, which showed an unexpected rise in the purchases of new homes. Sales jumped by the most in 14-years in April, rising 16% to an annual pace of [...]

The Euro continues to decline against the Pound despite a rise in German Investor Confidence

Wednesday, May 23rd, 2007

The Euro declined for a second consecutive day against the Pound, dropping 0.3% by the close of trading last night while also holding near a six-week low versus the U.S Dollar despite a seemingly positive report on German investor confidence. The ZEW Centre for Economic Research said its index of investor and analyst expectations increased [...]

The Euro declines against both the Pound and the Dollar ahead of the ZEW expectations balance this morning

Tuesday, May 22nd, 2007

The Pound managed to claw back some moderate gains against the Euro yesterday but continued to decline versus the U.S Dollar as a gauge of UK house prices advanced at slowest pace in five months. The report yesterday provided a strong indication that an increase in affordable housing combined with higher interest rates are slowly [...]

The Pound continues to struggle as we build up to the release of the minutes from the BoE’s last policy meeting

Monday, May 21st, 2007

Following on from last week, the lacklustre performance of the Pound continued despite the hawkish tone of the Bank of England’s quarterly inflation report, which seemed to suggest that a further tightening of monetary policy would be required in the near-to-medium term. That sentiment is expected to be further emphasised in the minutes from the [...]

The Dollar makes widespread gains as reports suggest a mild revival in the U.S property market

Thursday, May 17th, 2007

The Pound came under renewed pressure yesterday, falling 0.4% against the U.S Dollar and a further 0.1% versus the Euro to trade at lowest level in two months following the release of the Bank of England’s quarterly inflation report. The hawkish tone of the Central Bank reinvigorated the chances of another 25 basis point rise [...]

The Dollar declines as U.S consumer price inflation expands less than forecast in April

Tuesday, May 15th, 2007

The Pound came under significant pressure against the majors yesterday, dropping close to the lowest level this year versus the Euro and closing last night under 1.9875 against the U.S Dollar. The decline of the Pound was instigated by a drop in consumer price inflation last month, which fell from a decade high of 3.1% [...]

The Pound remains largely unchanged as UK producer price inflation accelerates in April

Tuesday, May 15th, 2007

The Pound remained largely unchanged against the majors yesterday, falling a modest 0.1% versus the Euro following a host of positive economic reports as UK producer prices rose for a fifth straight month in April. The so called factory-gate inflation grew 0.5% from the previous month, which underlines concerns within the Bank of England that [...]

The Dollar continues to make rapid gains despite a fundamental drop in U.S retail sales

Monday, May 14th, 2007

Following on from last week, the Pound managed to remain fairly unchanged against the majors on Friday after dropping significantly versus the Dollar following the Bank of England’s decision to lift interest rates by just 25 basis points. In terms of economic data, the Pound received a timely boost on Friday as a report from [...]

The Pound declines heavily against the majors despite a fourth rate increase in 9 months from the Bank of England

Friday, May 11th, 2007

The Pound came under severe pressure against the majors yesterday, dropping 0.4% versus the Euro and a further 0.9% against the U.S Dollar despite the Bank of England’s decision to lift UK interest rates to the highest level in six years. Recent reports have suggested that consumer spending, which accounts for a large proportion of [...]

The Pound rallies as we build up to the BoE interest rate announcement this lunchtime

Thursday, May 10th, 2007

The Pound continued to make significant gains against the majors yesterday, rising 0.4% versus the Euro and the Dollar as we build up to the Bank of England interest rate announcement this lunchtime. The monetary policy committee are widely expected to lift the benchmark lending rate to 5.50%, the fourth quarter-point increase since August last [...]


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