Exchange Rate Forecasts

September, 2007

The Dollar continues to decline against the majors ahead fo the housing data this afternoon

Thursday, September 27th, 2007

The Pound continued to decline against the majors yesterday, briefly falling through the major support level of 1.4250 versus the Euro to record the lowest level of exchange since April 2006 despite a slightly stronger-than-expected report on the UK economy. The final estimate of gross domestic product showed that economic growth had accelerated 3.1% in [...]

The Pound manages to rise above $2.00 versus the Dollar following an unexpected rise in retail sales

Tuesday, September 25th, 2007

Following on from last week, the Pound dropped to the lowest level in well over a year versus the Euro but managed to claw back above the $2.00 barrier against the Dollar as an unexpected rise in retail sales offset criticism of the BoE governor, Mervyn King. With the pace of consumer spending showing few [...]

The Dollar continues to decline against the majors as the market factors in a good chance of a rate cut in October

Monday, September 24th, 2007

Following on from last week, the Pound dropped to the lowest level in well over a year versus the Euro but managed to claw back above the $2.00 barrier against the Dollar as an unexpected rise in retail sales offset criticism of the BoE governor, Mervyn King. With the pace of consumer spending showing few [...]

The Pound holds firm against the Dollar as UK retail sales unexpectedly increase in August

Friday, September 21st, 2007

The Pound lost further ground against the Euro yesterday but rallied back above the $2.00 barrier versus the Dollar as a host of positive economic reports offset the criticism of the Bank of England governor, Mervyn King, as he explained the Central Bank’s reaction to the Northern Rock fiasco. The Pound received an unexpected and [...]

The Pound falls further against the Euro following the minutes from the Bank’s last policy meeting

Thursday, September 20th, 2007

The Pound continued to decline against the Euro yesterday, trading through 1.4300 as we look set to test the major support level at 1.4250, the lowest since April 2006, amid growing evidence that the Bank of England will eventually need to cut UK interest rates. Although the fiasco surrounding Northern Rock has been the catalyst [...]

The Dollar declines heavily against the majors as the Federal Reserve lower interest rates by half a percentage point

Wednesday, September 19th, 2007

The Dollar fell against both the Pound and the Euro last night following the Federal Reserve’s decision to lower its benchmark interest rate by half a percentage point in an attempt to pre-empt an economic slump and thusly spur the biggest rally in U.S stocks since 2003. The chairman of the Fed, Ben Bernanke, has [...]

The Dollar holds steady ahead of the FOMC rate announcement this evening

Tuesday, September 18th, 2007

The Pound continued to decline for the fourth straight day against the Dollar, dropping through the $2.00 barrier while also falling below 1.4400 versus the Euro as the impact of the credit crunch surrounding Northern Rock and other financial institutions continues to weigh on sentiment. The overwhelming decline of the Pound looks set to continue [...]

The Pound falls through the $2.00 barrier and record the biggest weekly decline in over 2-years versus the Euro

Monday, September 17th, 2007

Following on from last week, the Pound fell to the lowest level in well over a year versus the Euro and has also fallen through the $2.00 barrier against the U.S Dollar after the UK mortgage lender, Northern Rock, received the largest amount of emergency funding in over 30 years. As a result, the Pound [...]

Gloomy Outlook for Sterling

Friday, September 14th, 2007

Just a few weeks ago most economists were expecting the Bank of England to raise borrowing costs to 6% at the September meeting. Stock markets were strong, inflation risks were still deemed to outweigh growth concerns, the housing market was firm and credit was still easily accessible. Unsurprisingly with this backdrop, sterling was enjoying a [...]

The Pound declines heavily against the majors amid reports that the Bank of England released emergency funds in attempt to avert a credit crisis

Friday, September 14th, 2007

The recent negative sentiment surrounding the Pound gathered momentum last night as the UK currency fell to the lowest level in 14-months versus the Euro amid reports that UK lender Northern Rock plc sought emergency funding from the Bank of England. Britain’s fifth largest mortgage lender requested a short-term credit line with the loan to [...]


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