Exchange Rate Forecasts

April, 2008

The Pound declines as UK mortgage approvals fall to the lowest level since records began in 1999

Wednesday, April 30th, 2008

The Pound was once again susceptible to a barrage of weak economic reports as the UK currency fell towards the trend support at 1.9650 versus the Dollar after another gloomy report from the Bank of England. UK mortgage approvals declined in March to the lowest level in almost a decade as banks and lenders withdrew [...]

The Dollar rallys against the Euro amid speculation that the Fed won’t cut interest rates this month

Tuesday, April 29th, 2008

The recent revival in Sterling sentiment was severely tested yesterday as the UK currency was once again susceptible to weak economic data as UK house prices fell by the most in three years this month. The average cost of a home in Britain decreased 0.6% from March, the most since December 2004, to £173,100 as [...]

The Euro continues to decline against the majors as the focus swtiches to the latest inflation report on Wednesday

Monday, April 28th, 2008

Following on from last week, the Pound took advantage of broad Euro weakness to consolidate above the 1.2500 level on Friday after an EU report showed that money supply into the Euro-zone gre less than anticipated in March. The European Central Bank rely on the M3 index as a gauge of inflation and the 3 [...]

The Pound declines against the Dollar but rises to a two week high versus the Euro despite a 0.4% drop in retail sales

Friday, April 25th, 2008

The Pound has been struggling over the past few trading sessions and the UK currency fell a further 0.2% versus the Dollar yesterday as we look set to revisit the trend support around 1.9650. Nevertheless, the Pound took advantage of broad Euro weakness to trade higher by the close last night despite reports that UK [...]

The Pound declines against the majors as the minutes show that MPC policy maker David Blanchflower voted for a 50 basis point cut in April

Thursday, April 24th, 2008

The Pound has endured a torrid week against the majors, rising towards the $2.00 barrier versus the Dollar on more than one occasion before a barrage of disappointing reports brings the market back towards the support at 1.9750. The Group of Seven nations has recently declared that Finance Ministers were against volatile fluctuations in the [...]

The Pound declines against the majors as we build up to the release of the minutes from the MPC’s last policy meeting

Wednesday, April 23rd, 2008

The fallout from the Bank of England’s decision to swap £50 billion worth of UK government bonds for mortgage securities was greeted with cynicism from the market as the Pound plunged against both the Euro and the Dollar amid suggestions that the Central Bank is following in the Fed’s footsteps. The Bank of England and [...]

The Pound has succumbed to a report from the Bank of England after rising above $2.00 versus the Dollar

Monday, April 21st, 2008

Following on from last week, the Pound succumbed to speculation that the Bank of England will reduce interest rates by a further 25 basis points in May following a 2.5% drop in house prices and news that retail sales had contracted for the first time in three years. Nevertheless, a surprisingly positive report from the [...]

The Pound rallies against the majors as the Bank of England release £50 billion in emergency funding

Friday, April 18th, 2008

The Pound has plunged to a record low against the Euro on three separate occasions this week while also recording significant losses versus the Dollar amid speculation of a back-to-back interest rate cut in May as economic growth stalls and the credit crisis deepens. Nevertheless, the UK currency bounced back above the 1.2400 level yesterday [...]

The Euro rallies to new record high against the Pound and the Dollar as Euro-zone inflation accelerates to the highest level in 16-years

Thursday, April 17th, 2008

The Pound’s dramatic and unrelenting decline against the Euro continued yesterday as the UK currency sank to yet another record low, breaching the 1.2400 level for the first time since the Euro’s inception in 1999. A combination of bleak economic reports in the UK and faster inflation in the Euro-zone contributed to the move as [...]

The Pound plummets to the lowest level on record against the Euro as UK house prices decline and inflation stagnates

Wednesday, April 16th, 2008

The Pound fell to a fresh record low against the Euro yesterday and also paired fresh losses versus the majority of the 16 most actively traded currencies following reports that consumer prices rose at a slower pace than forecast in March and the slump in housing deteriorated to the worst level since 1978. The UK [...]


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