Exchange Rate Forecasts

November, 2008

The Pound rises to a high of $1.5500 against the Dollar as a bounce in global stocks increased risk appetite and spurred demand

Friday, November 28th, 2008

The Pound resumed its upside momentum against the Dollar yesterday, rising to a high of $1.5510 on the session, while the UK currency also strengthened for a third straight day versus the Euro after a bounce in global stocks helped boost demand for risk appetite and spur demand for higher yielding assets. Sterling subsequently climbed [...]

The Pound struggled to consolidate on the previous day’s against the majors after UK consumer spending declined by the most since 1995

Thursday, November 27th, 2008

The Pound rallied to a high of $1.5478 versus the Dollar yesterday and the UK currency also reached a high of 1.1953 against the Euro as government bonds rose and sent the 10-year gilt to the lowest level in almost 20-years following a report that UK consumer spending declined by the most since 1995. The [...]

The Pound rises above $1.5279 against the Dollar as a swing in risk sentiment sees investors back high-yielding assets

Wednesday, November 26th, 2008

The Pound bounced back against the majors yesterday, rising above $1.5400 against the Dollar, while the UK currency also rallied from a low of 1.1675 versus the Euro after gains in stocks and an unprecedented injection of liquidity from the Federal Reserve boosted demand for higher-yielding assets. The surprising momentum surrounding the Pound saw the [...]

Foreign Exchange Outlook Podcast – 25th November

Tuesday, November 25th, 2008

This week Senior Traders Adam Solomon and Luke Trevail take an in-depth look at the way the currency markets responded to the minutes from the Bank Of England Monetary Policy Committee meeting and Alistair Darling’s Pre-Budget Report. Also this week: The CitiBank bailout Further Eurozone resilience Some optimism for US Dollar buyers You can download [...]

The Pound declines against the Euro as the Chancellor Alistair Darling pledges to lower VAT but increases the budget deficit to £118 billion

Tuesday, November 25th, 2008

The Pound declined against the Euro yesterday, falling to a low of 1.1714 on the session, after the UK government announced plans to sell a record amount of debt in the next fiscal year, while ten-year gilts snapped four days of consecutive gains as the cost of hedging against losses on government bonds rose to [...]

The Pound may find some support against the majors depending on the tone of Chancellor Darling’s pre-budget report

Monday, November 24th, 2008

Following on from last week, the Pound endured another turbulent week against the majors with the UK currency unable to sustain any positive momentum versus the Euro and the Dollar as a sense of risk aversion stalked the market and speculation grew over the prospect of another UK interest rate cut in December. Nevertheless, the [...]

The Pound was unable to sustain its upside momentum as UK retail sales declined for a second consecutive month

Friday, November 21st, 2008

The Pound was unable to sustain the surprising upside momentum against the Dollar from Wednesday as the UK currency relinquished all of the previous day’s gains, falling back under $1.4700 against the Dollar, and not even a smaller-than-expected drop in UK retail sale could limit the decline. The UK currency also declined by the most [...]

The Pound rallied against the majors, rising above $1.5000 versus the Dollar after U.S consumer prices fell by the most on record

Thursday, November 20th, 2008

The Pound enjoyed a significant intraday rally against the Dollar yesterday, rising as high $1.5247 on the session, before falling back under $1.5000 at the close of trading last night, while the UK currency also met resistance just under 1.2000 versus the Euro following the release of the minutes from the BoE’s last policy meeting. [...]

The Pound declines against the majors as UK inflation falls by the most in 11-years and increases the prospect of a further reduction in rates

Wednesday, November 19th, 2008

The Pound was unable to sustain Monday’s momentum against the majors yesterday as the UK currency found strong resistance at $1.5000 against the Dollar and also fell back under 1.1900 versus the Euro as traders speculated that the bounce may have been nothing more than a technical consolidation before a further downside move. Sterling sentiment [...]

Foreign Exchange Outlook Podcast – 18th November 08

Tuesday, November 18th, 2008

Once again Senior Traders Adam Solomon and Luke Trevail analyse the news in the currency markets and look ahead to what might happen on the trading floors in the coming week. This week: Mervyn King’s Comments on Sterling The Eurozone’s economic resistance JP Morgan’s gloomy predictions If you have any questions or comments about this [...]


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