Exchange Rate Forecasts

December, 2008

Foreign Exchange Outlook Podcast – 10th December

Wednesday, December 10th, 2008

The new shorter, more frequent, Foreign Exchange Outlook Podcast, brought to you by TorFX. This week TorFX achieved 2nd place in the Sunday Times Virgin Fasttrack 100 which lists the top 100 fastest growing private companies in the UK, something we’re all very proud of. Also this week: The 1% Bank of England Rate Cut [...]

The Pound falls to yet another record low against the Euro after industry reports confirm further contraction in housing and factory output

Wednesday, December 10th, 2008

The Pound slumped to a fresh record low against the Euro yesterday, while the UK currency also fell to a low of $1.4681 versus the Dollar following industry reports that showed UK house prices had slipped to the lowest level since at least 1978. Recent UK fundamentals have illustrated that the economy is slipping deeper [...]

The Pound rallied against the Dollar yesterday after remarks from the President-elect Barack Obama rekindled an appetite for risk

Tuesday, December 9th, 2008

The Pound rose by the most against the Dollar in almost a month yesterday but the UK currency failed to hang on to similar gains versus the Euro despite a worldwide rally in stocks that eroded the appetite for the U.S currency as a safe haven asset. The UK currency also made widespread gains against [...]

The Pound may extend its losses against the majors after the UK currency sank to a fresh record low versus the Euro

Monday, December 8th, 2008

Following on from last week, the Pound plummeted to a fresh record low against the Euro, while the UK currency briefly sank under $1.4500 versus the Dollar as 10-year government bonds rose by the most in a decade following the Bank of England’s decision to cut interest rates to the lowest level since 1951. The [...]

The Pound slumped against the majors, dropping to a record low versus the Euro, after the BoE cut interest rates 1%

Friday, December 5th, 2008

The Pound sank to a fresh record low against the Euro yesterday, recording a low of 1.1504 at the end of the session, while the UK currency also declined heavily to the weakest level since 2002 versus the Dollar after the Bank of England cut UK interest rates to the lowest since 1951. An element [...]

The Pound declines against the majors as UK services industries contract by the most on record

Thursday, December 4th, 2008

The dramatic level of volatility surrounding the Pound continued yesterday as the UK currency slumped against the majority of the majors, despite a pickup in global stocks, as UK service sector growth contracted at the fastest pace in at least 12-years and consumer confidence deteriorated. The Pound plunged towards a fresh record low at 1.1631 [...]

The Pound bounced back against the Dollar after global stocks advanced and rekindled risk appetite

Wednesday, December 3rd, 2008

The Pound rallied strongly against the Dollar yesterday, briefly trading back above $1.5000 on the session from a low of $1.4780 as global stocks advanced and rekindled an element of risk appetite that reduced demand for save haven currencies like the Dollar, Japanese Yen and Swiss Franc. The dramatic and often aggressive swings in risk [...]

Foreign Exchange Outlook Podcast – 2nd December

Tuesday, December 2nd, 2008

Once again Senior Traders Adam Solomon and Luke Trevail analyse the week’s foreign exchange market news to help you with your trading decisions. This week: A brief pound rebound The UN economic report A big week for economic data You can download the podcast directly from here, subscribe to the blog here or if you [...]

The Pound plunges against the majors after a slump in global slumps spurs demand for safe haven assets

Tuesday, December 2nd, 2008

The Pound plunged against the majors yesterday, relinquishing all of the gains from last week’s unexpected upside move as the deteriorating market conditions and aggressive swings in risk sentiment sent the UK currency crashing towards its biggest one-day loss against the Dollar in over a month. In addition, the Pound came under renewed selling pressure, [...]

The Pound rallied higher against the majors as an element of risk appetite returned but can Sterling sustain that momentum this week

Monday, December 1st, 2008

Following on from last week, the resurgence of risk appetite was reflected in the positive four day run in U.S stocks and a degree of consolidation on foreign exchange markets subsequently ensued as the Pound clawed back some gains versus the Dollar, rising to a high of $1.5510 despite fears of a crippling recession. Short [...]


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